SANTA BARBARA, CA–An Artificial Intelligence Research Company in California that is able to predict how many new cases of Coronavirus will be seen daily and where future virus hotspots will be located across the United States has released a 7-day forecast for the spread of COVID-19.
AimDyn’s team of researchers and data analysts have been watching the COVID-19 news unfold in shock with much of the rest of the world.
To try and help in efforts to contain the pandemic, they have released preliminary findings that were obtained by applying their proprietary Artificial Intelligence algorithm’s predictive technology to the COVID-19 data in order to extrapolate information about the future spread of the disease.
Here we see the accuracy of AimDyn’s Forecasted Conditions when placed beside the True Conditions of Infected Cases:
Perhaps the biggest benefit of this data could be identifying “hotspot” regions for the virus, or regions that show the biggest growth, as seen in the prediction of the United States virus spread and implementing onsite rapid drive-thru testing in these greater affected areas.
AimDyn first used three days of data to forecast the next day’s infected cases. Because forecasts can not be produced for regions with less than 3 days of prior data, some infected regions don’t show up in the forecasts until they have 3 days of data available, which causes a few dot discrepancies.
If we compare the fastest-growing regions from previous forecasts with this current video’s predictions, we see that California and Washington have transitioned from high-growth-rate-regions to low-growth-rate-regions. This could suggest those states’ shelter-in-place protocols have been effective.
“Our analysis provides useful information on the state level. However, the number of cases in each city or county is not yet available to us. The more data is available, the more information data scientists can provide and help in minimizing casualties from this pandemic. More data also gives an opportunity for longer prediction, so we would encourage everyone in sharing data and cooperation in these difficult times,” said Iva Manojlovic, Junior Data Scientist.
“With 14 days worth of data we have been able to project the number of cases 7 days in advance as shown in the figures below. Both figures show the growth of COVID-19 cases, for 1 week after 3/22, one globally and the other in the US.
The prediction curve is shown in orange. The actual data before the prediction is shown in blue. The actual data after the prediction is shown in multicolored circles for March 23rd, 24th and 25th. As we can see the match is almost perfect” says Igor Mezic, Founder and Project Lead
From our lawyer: These results are based on limited data, are for informational purposes only, and, due to the uncertainties inherent in this fluid situation should not be relied upon for making any personal or professional decisions. AIMdyn, Inc. disclaims any and all representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, validity, reliability or completeness of any of the information provided in this forecast. AIMdyn, Inc. disclaims all liability arising out of your review or use of this forecast.